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	<title>Actionable Analytics &#187; causation</title>
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	<link>http://actionable-analytics.com</link>
	<description>Thoughts on Web Measurement &#38; Optimisation - by Jonny Longden</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Fri, 27 Aug 2010 15:51:52 +0000</lastBuildDate>
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		<title>Measuring Brand Utility</title>
		<link>http://actionable-analytics.com/2010/08/measuring-brand-utility/</link>
		<comments>http://actionable-analytics.com/2010/08/measuring-brand-utility/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 27 Aug 2010 15:51:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jonny</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Measurement]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Metrics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Strategy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[apps]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[brand utility]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[causation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[correlation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[engagement]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[marketing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[measurement framework]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mobile]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[optimisation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[performance marketing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[platforms]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://actionable-analytics.com/?p=182</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Websites and micro sites are giving way to branded utility apps and tools, social networks, and wider brand engagement platforms. What is driving the need for these new marketing techniques? What defines them? And, ultimately, how do we measure their effectiveness?]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Once upon a time the objective of a digital advertising brief was much the same as an off-line brief: to communicate a sales message to people in order to get them to buy a product. The only real differences were the way in which that message was delivered and the way in which the consumer could purchase the product.</p>
<p>However, in recent years there has been a dramatic shift away from this model. The traditional set-up of websites, micro sites and banner ads is increasingly being replaced by a new breed of apps, networks, engagement platforms and digital tools. Interrupting people with overt sales messages is out of style. Most of the time these things have almost nothing to do with the actual product the company is selling.</p>
<p>But how then do we measure these new experiences? The old model of reach, click-through and conversion isn&#8217;t really any different to direct-mail and was easy, but our brave new world often has very little to do with that old model. In order to understand how to measure this we first need to look at what these tools actually are and why they came about in the first place.</p>
<p>[N.B - I have never directly worked on any of the case studies I use in this post and use them only as examples or for hypothetical ideas]</p>
<h2>The need for branded utility and customer engagement</h2>
<p>Branded utility, and indeed the whole &#8216;customer engagement&#8217; movement is born out of the increasing <a href="http://hbswk.hbs.edu/item/5830.html" target="_blank">commoditisation of products</a>. In the old days the only sources of information available to customers were advertising (and sales) and the advice of a very small peer-group. This meant that marketers had full control over who knew about their products and, more importantly, what they thought about them. This one-way communication to a captive audience allowed the ad-men to conjure up a complex meta-narrative of value and meaning around essentially rather dull products. People weren&#8217;t loyal to a product because they loved it, it was because they were brainwashed into believing that their lives would be so much the worse without it.</p>
<p>Skipping forward to the present day: in a world where information is available before we even know we need it, and where brands live and die based on the the ebb and flow of social media sentiment, we no longer need adverts to tell us how to think and feel about products. If I want to know which mobile phone provider is right for me a focused 20 minutes on the Internet reading reviews and asking my friends will form an infinitely more genuine and useful opinion than an ambiguous TV advert of people rolling around in fields of corn.</p>
<p>So marketers no longer control the message, and therefore a product is merely a product. Other than the actual efficacy and quality of the product itself our ability to influence people&#8217;s purchase decisions is very quickly vanishing. This is the central business issue behind this new move towards customer engagement online: as someone who works for an agency I get to see this first hand in the challenges presented to us by our clients. At bottom they all say the same thing: <strong></strong></p>
<p><strong>Help!! We need to be more than just a product!</strong></p>
<p><strong><a href="http://actionable-analytics.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/08/morethanproducts2.jpg"><img class="alignnone size-medium wp-image-185" title="morethanproducts" src="http://actionable-analytics.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/08/morethanproducts2-300x225.jpg" alt="" width="428" height="320" /></a><br />
</strong></p>
<h2>How to be more than just a product</h2>
<blockquote><address><span style="color: #000080;">&#8220;Stop interrupting what people are interested in and be what people are interested in&#8221;</span> &#8211; David Ogilvy</address>
</blockquote>
<p>If brands want to mean more to their customers than just the products they sell, then it follows that they need to develop a relationship with the customer over and above the experience of that product. This means doing and being something else in such a way that the brand itself becomes a meaningful part of our customers&#8217; everyday lives.</p>
<p>The most famous and most often cited example of how this can work is <a href="http://nikeplus.com/" target="_blank">Nike Plus</a>. Nike sell running shoes, which people probably buy once or twice a year and which they probably never really think about when they&#8217;re wearing them to run in. Nike Plus transcends the product by providing a unique service which enhances the entire experience of running. It&#8217;s completely relevant to shoes but it isn&#8217;t shoes, and it allows Nike as a brand to own running and not just running shoes. This therefore becomes a platform whereby Nike are continually engaged with the running community and through which they have an immensely valid stage on which to communicate to this community about products when it&#8217;s appropriate.</p>
<p>Another excellent example is <a href="http://www.sitorsquat.com/sitorsquat/home/map" target="_blank">Charmin&#8217;s Sit or Squat mobile phone app</a>, which allows a user to locate nearby public toilets when &#8216;caught short&#8217;. It even allows you to upload photographs and rate/review different locations. Obviously this has nothing to do with selling the product directly in the traditional sense (features and benefits), but at the same time it is completely relevant to toilets and therefore toilet paper &#8211; it&#8217;s a genius piece of advertising which the &#8216;audience&#8217; keeps with them and uses again and again.</p>
<p>Lastly, there is one more example of this which I am sure will be familiar to readers of this blog, and which may come as a surprise &#8211; <a href="http://www.google.com/analytics/" target="_blank">Google Analytics</a>. At first this might seem odd, but if you think about it GA is actually one of the cleverest engagement platforms in existence: it&#8217;s free and ultimately exists to benefit Adwords revenue, but what more effective way could there be to engage, captivate and learn about businesses regarding their use of the web?</p>
<h2>How does branded utility differ?</h2>
<p>If we want to develop a framework for this stuff which differs to the usual model, we first need to understand how it differs in concept. Here are the key pillars:</p>
<p><strong>Product disassociation</strong> &#8211; traditional advertising almost always points directly to a product. Even if we can&#8217;t measure the sale directly as we can with on-line conversion, it is generally possible to show some correlation between the communication and it&#8217;s impact on sales. However with branded utility the picture isn&#8217;t always so easy. What actual impact on Charmin&#8217;s sales does the Sit or Squat app really have?</p>
<p><strong>Quality not quantity</strong> &#8211; branded utility is all about relationships, engagement, loyalty and advocacy. Unlike traditional advertising, it doesn&#8217;t necessarily matter how many people see the app or service, it only really matters how many people find it useful; feel an affinity to the brand because of it; and talk about it to their friends. Whereas hateful and irritating TV ads can still create positive brand equity through recall, it simply doesn&#8217;t work like that here.</p>
<p><a href="http://actionable-analytics.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/08/qualitynotquantity.jpg"><img class="alignnone size-medium wp-image-186" title="Quality not Quantity" src="http://actionable-analytics.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/08/qualitynotquantity-300x72.jpg" alt="" width="547" height="131" /></a></p>
<p><strong>Marketing as a service</strong> &#8211; increasingly people expect something in return for receiving messages, and not only where branded utility is concerned. <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Software_as_a_service" target="_blank">SAAS</a> tools like <a href="http://www.spotify.com" target="_blank">Spotify</a>, which allows a free version with ads and a paid version without, has created a popular belief that advertising is a choice &#8211; if I have to see it then I want something in return. This is another reason why branded utility is increasingly in demand for brands. Marketing must offer a genuine service in order for any message to be accepted by the consumer.</p>
<p><strong>Advocacy is more than a passing comment</strong> &#8211; in the digital age it isn&#8217;t enough for people simply to tell their friends about your product in the pub. True digital advocates are somewhere slightly closer to a mobilized sales-force; they must be proactive in sharing their experiences and bringing others in to the fold. This can only happen if doing it is easy, meaningful and if they have the right tools to go about it.</p>
<h2>Measuring and optimising branded utility</h2>
<p>Ultimately, branded utility differs from traditional advertising because  it is about creating and driving owned and earned media, which behave  incredibly differently to bought media and all the models of traditional  advertising. But how then do we measure these strategies?</p>
<h3>Aligning corporate goals</h3>
<p>Very simply, why the hell are you even doing this really? What exactly do you think it will achieve in terms of profit, retention, sales blah blah blah. If you can&#8217;t align the initiative to what it is ultimately supposed to do then your measurements won&#8217;t offer any true value in terms of how effective it is for the business. Start from the most obvious and top-line corporate goals and trace these down to your metrics for the initiative. This will become more apparent in the following sections.</p>
<h3>Differentiate impact and effectiveness</h3>
<p>The natural tendency with branded utility is to measure it like a website. Let&#8217;s take the Charmin app as an example. Depending on how it was tagged we could tell how many people download the app; how many times they use it and for how long; to what extent they share, upload and rate content; and also perhaps what they think of it with the aid of some qual research. We can also <a href="http://actionable-analytics.com/2009/08/why-goals-are-so-important-and-how-to-create-them/" target="_self">identify key behavioural goals</a> which in some way mirror a &#8216;conversion point&#8217;, thus giving us a kind of funnel analysis.</p>
<p>However, all this tells us is what the <strong>impact</strong> of the app is. We can track lots of data on how well it works and how much people love it as a toilet app, but this doesn&#8217;t tell us whether it is effective a as a brand communication. It could be number one in the iTunes app store and raved about on national TV, but does this really mean that people will buy more toilet paper? This is the <strong>effectiveness</strong> of the entire initiative and relies much more heavily on controlled qualitative studies and business modeling.</p>
<h3>Build a measurement framework</h3>
<p>Create a framework for the metrics you will report on, and ensure it reflects the distinction between impact and effectiveness described above. I have written more extensively on <a href="http://actionable-analytics.com/2009/07/how-to-build-a-digital-measurement-framework/" target="_self">how to build a measurement framework</a> on another blog post, but I have also sketched out a brief hypothetical example based on the Charmin example here. This is, in part, based on <a href="http://www.adobe.com/engagement/pdfs/measuring_engagement.pdf" target="_blank">Forrester&#8217;s general framework for measuring engagement</a>, which fits very nicely with this type of digital activity</p>
<p><a href="http://actionable-analytics.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/08/measurementframework1.jpg"><img class="alignnone size-large wp-image-188" title="Measurement Framework" src="http://actionable-analytics.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/08/measurementframework1-1024x763.jpg" alt="" width="538" height="400" /></a></p>
<h3>Beware correlation and causation</h3>
<p>It is amazing how many mistakes are made regarding <a href="http://actionable-analytics.com/2009/07/errors-of-causation-in-web-analytics/" target="_self">correlation and causation in web analytics</a>, but it is especially easy with branded utility. For example, take the example of <a href="http://www.mx-5.com/">Mazda&#8217;s online community forum for MX5 owners</a>, which is certainly a form of branded utlity. They would be interested in to what extent people who use the forum are likely to renew vs. people who don&#8217;t. This is easy to do: take a sample of user-drivers vs a sample of non-user drivers and compare the renewal rate. However, this is incorrect. People who use the forum are <em>already more engaged</em> with the brand than people who don&#8217;t; this is the very reason that they find it and sign up to it. So the fact that they are more likely to renew could have nothing to do with the forum at all. The real question is: what is the incremental value of the forum or, more clearly: how many people renew <em>because of their experience</em> on the forum. This is not as easy to answer.</p>
<h3>Don&#8217;t be afraid of intangibles</h3>
<p>The answer to the above question cannot necessarily be answered with straight data, and will seem like an intangible business question, but unfortunately it is exactly these kind of questions which we need to answer to address the effectiveness part of the measurement. Rather than go into detail here, I will point you in the direction of a fantastic book: <a href="http://www.amazon.co.uk/How-Measure-Anything-Intangibles-Business/dp/0470110120/ref=sr_1_2?ie=UTF8&amp;s=books&amp;qid=1282922669&amp;sr=8-2" target="_blank">How to Measure Anything by Douglas Hubbard</a> &#8211; if you haven&#8217;t read this I strongly recommend it. It will enlighten you about just how much of the supposedly unmeasurable can indeed be measured.</p>
<h2>In brief summary</h2>
<p>The digital relationships we have with our customers are changing. The old advertising and sales modelsdon’t apply in this new world. Embrace the future!</p>
<h3>Further reading:</h3>
<p><a href="http://www.contagiousmagazine.com/resources/BU_extracts.pdf" target="_blank">Contagious Magazine Special Report &#8211; Branded Utility</a></p>
<p><a href="http://www.brandutility.net/" target="_blank">Brand Utility &#8211; a neat presentation from brandutility.net</a></p>
<p><a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7AgAo8KVCTI&amp;feature=player_embedded" target="_blank">Branded Utility Day at Ogilvy &#8211; presentation on Youtube</a></p>
<p><a href="http://www.slideshare.net/JoshChambers/branded-utility-the-already-happening-future-of-marketing-1614447" target="_blank">Another branded utility slideshare presentation </a></p>
<p><a href="http://brand-utility.com/" target="_blank">Brand Utility, the blog</a></p>
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		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Errors of causation in web analytics</title>
		<link>http://actionable-analytics.com/2009/07/errors-of-causation-in-web-analytics/</link>
		<comments>http://actionable-analytics.com/2009/07/errors-of-causation-in-web-analytics/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 16 Jul 2009 08:40:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jonny</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[analytics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[behaviour]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[causation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cause]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[correlation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[direct traffic]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[dwell-time]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Measurement]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Metrics]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://actionable-analytics.com/?p=89</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Correlattion does not imply causation. You can avoid this by remembering that your customers are real people with needs, desires, habits and lifestyles. Look beyond the click-stream and understand how your customers think and feel.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The other day I was presenting the findings of some analysis to a client. The focus of this analysis was to discover the behavioural factors affecting checkout completion rates in order to shed some light on why people drop out. For example, within this analysis I was able to say fairly basic things such as:</p>
<ul>
<li>Visitors who spend a lot of time on the site before their purchase are less likely to drop out of the checkout process than those who&#8217;s session is shorter</li>
<li>Visitors who land on the homepage are more likely to drop out of the process than those who land on a product page</li>
</ul>
<p>Now, the client immediately got rather excited about this and began to say, regarding the first point, &#8220;Wow, so if we can increase the time on site then we can improve our drop-out rates. Excellent, how do we increase time on site?&#8221;. Had I allowed it, this person would no doubt have been rushing back to the marketing team with a new objective to get the time on site up!</p>
<p>So what&#8217;s wrong with this? Well, apart from the very numerous <a href="http://actionable-analytics.com/2009/06/measuring-engagement-the-dangers-of-dwell-time/">issues with dwell-time</a> associated with this specific example, this represents a very common misunderstanding in web analysis. Put very simply:</p>
<p>Your customer didn&#8217;t complete their purchase <em>because</em> they were on your site for a long time. They were probably on your site for a long time <em>because</em> they are interested in your products and your site is relevant to them which, in turn, means they are more likely to complete their purchase. Increasing dwell-time per se doesn&#8217;t make any sense in this example because <em>it isn&#8217;t the cause</em>.</p>
<p>To provide a simpler example of this: you might notice that people who dress smartly often have quite tidy hair as well. Does this mean that dressing smartly <em>causes</em> tidy hair? If I put a suit on, will my hair instantly become much tidier <em>because</em> I&#8217;m wearing a suit? No, there is some other factor (the person&#8217;s need to look smart) that is driving <em>both</em> of these things.</p>
<p>This leads to all kinds of problems in web analysis, some of which are quite subtle. Furthermore, this problem is inextricably bound up with our obsession with click-stream; if we can&#8217;t see <em>beyond</em> the web analysis tool then we have to find our causes <em>within it</em>. The biggest danger is that we stop being able to see our visitors as real people with real needs, and instead just view them as lines of data or collections of behaviours.</p>
<p>A couple more examples of how this can cause problems:</p>
<ul>
<li>You notice that direct traffic is of a higher quality than other sources. Does this mean that you should simply get more people to come to you direct? You could do this by displaying your URL as a static image in non-clickable banners, meaning that people have to physically type it into the browser. Again, no. Real direct traffic is direct because of brand familiarity and relevance, which may have nothing to do with advertising. The pure fact that it&#8217;s direct is of little relevance. (by the way, be careful &#8211; <a href="http://actionable-analytics.com/2009/06/direct-traffic-in-web-analytics-is-not-what-you-think-it-is/">direct traffic isn&#8217;t always what it seems</a>)</li>
<li>You notice a correlation between downloads of your latest white paper and calls to your salesteam. Excellent, the white paper is a succesful acquisition tool and is driving leads! Or is it? Which way round is it really? Are people calling you because they downloaded the white paper, or did they look at your site and dowload the white paper because they called you?</li>
</ul>
<p>Remember, <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Correlation_does_not_imply_causation">correlation does not imply causation!</a> You can avoid this by remembering that your customers are real people with needs, desires, habits and lifestyles. They are not lines of data with dwell-times, page counts and completion rates. These things are only behavioural indications of something else more complex that is happening. Look beyond the click-stream and understand how your customers think and feel.</p>
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